Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SOL prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-18 0.001068 0.001213 0.001357 0.001512 0.001674 0.001836 0.002011
2026-01-25 0.000803 0.001008 0.001220 0.001454 0.001702 0.001957 0.002237
2026-02-01 0.000618 0.000867 0.001132 0.001432 0.001758 0.002096 0.002473
2026-02-08 0.000486 0.000767 0.001078 0.001438 0.001834 0.002253 0.002722
2026-02-15 0.000382 0.000688 0.001039 0.001453 0.001917 0.002411 0.002970
2026-02-22 0.000303 0.000628 0.001015 0.001480 0.002008 0.002575 0.003220
2026-03-01 0.000219 0.000550 0.000963 0.001470 0.002054 0.002686 0.003410
2026-03-08 0.000139 0.000465 0.000895 0.001437 0.002068 0.002759 0.003556
2026-03-15 0.000093 0.000417 0.000868 0.001448 0.002131 0.002884 0.003755
2026-03-22 0.000050 0.000362 0.000827 0.001439 0.002169 0.002977 0.003919
2026-03-29 0.000026 0.000331 0.000815 0.001463 0.002242 0.003110 0.004123
2026-04-05 0.000005 0.000286 0.000780 0.001457 0.002279 0.003199 0.004278
2026-04-12 NaN 0.000229 0.000734 0.001450 0.002333 0.003329 0.004502
2026-04-19 NaN 0.000151 0.000647 0.001389 0.002320 0.003384 0.004644
2026-04-26 NaN 0.000101 0.000592 0.001365 0.002352 0.003489 0.004843
2026-05-03 NaN 0.000068 0.000559 0.001368 0.002416 0.003630 0.005082
2026-05-10 NaN 0.000044 0.000536 0.001383 0.002493 0.003785 0.005335
2026-05-17 NaN 0.000028 0.000522 0.001409 0.002581 0.003953 0.005603
2026-05-24 NaN 0.000009 0.000485 0.001399 0.002624 0.004066 0.005806
2026-05-31 NaN NaN 0.000435 0.001365 0.002635 0.004140 0.005964
2026-06-07 NaN NaN 0.000416 0.001376 0.002701 0.004278 0.006194
2026-06-14 NaN NaN 0.000385 0.001367 0.002740 0.004383 0.006384
2026-06-21 NaN NaN 0.000376 0.001391 0.002821 0.004536 0.006629